[Dottorcomp] Seminari di Matematica Applicata. Martedì 16 marzo, Dott. Mattia Zanella

[Stefano Lisini]

Seminari di Matematica Applicata, Dipartimento di Matematica "F.
Casorati" e Istituto del CNR IMATI "E. Magenes" di Pavia,

Martedì 16 marzo 2021, alle ore 15 precise, il Dott. Mattia Zanella
(Università di Pavia) terrà un seminario dal titolo:

Kinetic and macroscopic models for epidemic dynamics.

Il seminario si terrà su Zoom al link:
https://us02web.zoom.us/j/87518137128?pwd=eHg2eG9QZUdydFJEU1NESWN5a1lPQT09

Meeting ID: 875 1813 7128
Passcode: 880047

Abstract: We introduce a mathematical description of the impact of
sociality in the spread of infectious diseases by integrating an
epidemiological dynamics with a kinetic modeling of population-based
contacts. The kinetic description leads to study the evolution over
time of Boltzmann-type equations describing the number densities of
social contacts of susceptible, infected and recovered individuals,
whose proportions are driven by classical SIR-type compartmental
models in epidemiology. Explicit calculations show that the spread of
the disease is closely related to moments of the contact distribution.
Motivated by the COVID-19 pandemic, part of the talk will be dedicated
to the calibration  of the proposed model based on data of the
Province of Pavia thanks to an ongoing collaboration with ATS. We
conduct numerical experiments which confirm the ability of the model
to describe different phenomena characteristic of the rapid spread of
an epidemic.


Pagina web dei Seminari di Matematica Applicata
https://matematica.unipv.it/ricerca/cicli-di-seminari/seminari-di-matematica-applicata/